Análisis Real Valladolid vs Girona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.3
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 feb. 2012 |
CCF
2 - 0
VAD
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2012 |
VAD
4 - 0
GIM
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
VAD
13%
23%
65%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
VAD
16%
24%
61%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2012 |
VAD
1 - 1
ALC
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
ALM
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2012 |
ELC
1 - 0
GIR
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2012 |
GIR
0 - 1
CEL
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 1
MUR
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2012 |
REC
3 - 0
GIR
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |