Análisis Real Valladolid vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
34.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1948 |
RCD
1 - 3
VAD
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1948 |
VAD
4 - 1
BAR
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 ene. 1948 |
LEV
3 - 0
VAD
73%
15%
12%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 ene. 1948 |
VAD
1 - 0
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 1948 |
MLL
2 - 3
VAD
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 1948 |
HER
2 - 1
DEP
54%
22%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 feb. 1948 |
CAS
5 - 2
HER
47%
21%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1948 |
HER
5 - 0
MUR
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 ene. 1948 |
VAL
7 - 3
HER
39%
22%
39%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 1948 |
HER
3 - 0
BAD
74%
15%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |