Análisis Real Valladolid vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
VAD
57%
23%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2012 |
VAD
2 - 1
CAR
78%
15%
6%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
VAD
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
VAD
3 - 0
HUE
72%
18%
9%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 abr. 2012 |
XER
0 - 4
VAD
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 may. 2012 |
HER
0 - 0
ALM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
ELC
0 - 3
HER
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
CEL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2012 |
MUR
2 - 6
HER
34%
30%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2012 |
HER
4 - 2
GIR
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |