Análisis Real Valladolid vs Numancia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
18.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 mar. 2015 |
BET
4 - 0
VAD
50%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2015 |
VAD
3 - 0
SPO
48%
27%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
CDT
2 - 0
VAD
16%
25%
59%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
VAD
1 - 0
ALC
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 feb. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 4
VAD
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 mar. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 0
MIR
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
GIR
2 - 1
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2015 |
NUM
1 - 1
ALB
57%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
NUM
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 feb. 2015 |
NUM
3 - 0
SAB
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |