Análisis Real Valladolid vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.1
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
7.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 0
GRA
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 1977 |
VAD
2 - 0
OSA
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
CDT
1 - 1
VAD
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 dic. 1976 |
VAD
4 - 0
REC
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1976 |
PUE
2 - 1
VAD
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ene. 1977 |
RJA
1 - 0
SPO
32%
31%
38%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 ene. 1977 |
GRA
2 - 0
RJA
71%
20%
9%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 1976 |
RJA
2 - 1
CDT
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 dic. 1976 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
65%
23%
12%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1976 |
RJA
3 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |