Análisis Real Valladolid vs Valencia Mestalla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 feb. 1966 |
CAD
1 - 0
VAD
43%
28%
30%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 1966 |
VAD
1 - 3
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 1966 |
CDB
0 - 2
VAD
35%
29%
37%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 1966 |
VAD
1 - 0
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1966 |
RAY
1 - 0
VAD
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 1966 |
VAL
1 - 1
MEL
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 1966 |
VAL
3 - 0
CDT
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 feb. 1966 |
CAD
1 - 1
VAL
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1966 |
VAL
1 - 0
HER
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1966 |
CDB
3 - 3
VAL
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |