Copa Intertoto Octavos
Global 1-1
Análisis FK Vardar vs KAA Gent
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jun. 2004 |
VAR
5 - 1
ETH
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2004 |
ETH
1 - 5
VAR
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 may. 2004 |
BAS
3 - 2
VAR
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 may. 2004 |
VAR
7 - 2
BEL
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
NAP
2 - 3
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 jun. 2004 |
FYL
0 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 1
FYL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
STR
0 - 2
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
LOK
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 1
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |