Análisis Varzi vs Bastida
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.4%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10%
Probabilidad gana
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Varzi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2014 |
BIA
2 - 5
VAR
10%
17%
74%
|
32 | 8 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
ATL
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
LOM
0 - 0
VAR
36%
23%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIV
76%
15%
9%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
CIS
1 - 0
VAR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Bastida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
ABB
71%
17%
13%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
VIS
1 - 0
BAS
56%
21%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 0
VER
34%
23%
43%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
ROB
0 - 3
BAS
16%
20%
64%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | +1 |