Análisis Varzim vs Benfica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
9.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
61%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1987 |
OEL
0 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 2
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 0
MAR
52%
28%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
FCP
0 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 1987 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
57%
24%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 dic. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 1986 |
SCP
7 - 1
SLB
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 1986 |
POR
0 - 3
SLB
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |