Segunda Liga Jor. 12

Análisis Varzim vs Penafiel

Varzim Penafiel
62 ELO 64
-13.1% Tilt -7.7%
3350º Ranking ELO general 1714º
56º Ranking ELO país 33º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
35.8%
Varzim
28.6%
Empate
35.6%
Penafiel

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Varzim
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Penafiel
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Varzim
+12%
-26%
Penafiel

Progresión del ELO

Varzim
Penafiel
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 dic. 2018
ARO
Arouca
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
47%
27%
26%
62 64 2 0
01 dic. 2018
VAR
Varzim
0 - 0
Academico Viseu
ACV
39%
29%
33%
62 62 0 0
12 nov. 2018
OLI
UD Oliveirense
3 - 0
Varzim
VAR
42%
27%
32%
62 59 3 0
04 nov. 2018
VAR
Varzim
1 - 1
Farense
FAR
49%
27%
24%
63 58 5 -1
31 oct. 2018
FCP
Porto
4 - 2
Varzim
VAR
83%
13%
4%
64 87 23 -1

Partidos

Penafiel
Penafiel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 dic. 2018
PEN
Penafiel
3 - 2
Vitória Guimarães B
VSC
46%
27%
27%
63 60 3 0
02 dic. 2018
PAÇ
Paços de Ferreira
2 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
62%
23%
16%
64 74 10 -1
25 nov. 2018
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 4
Vitória Setúbal
VST
24%
24%
52%
65 73 8 -1
10 nov. 2018
PEN
Penafiel
1 - 0
Benfica II
BEN
43%
27%
29%
64 62 2 +1
03 nov. 2018
MAF
Mafra
1 - 0
Penafiel
PEN
37%
27%
36%
65 61 4 -1