Análisis Vasco da Gama vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.02
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VAS
56%
22%
23%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2003 |
VAS
1 - 0
BAH
64%
20%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 1
BAH
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 1
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 4
ATM
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |