Análisis Vasco da Gama vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.46
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-16%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 1983 |
TRE
0 - 2
VAS
17%
23%
61%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 1983 |
FER
0 - 2
VAS
13%
22%
66%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1982 |
GRE
1 - 0
VAS
46%
28%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1982 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 1982 |
ISM
3 - 0
VAS
13%
22%
65%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 1983 |
TRE
1 - 4
NAU
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1983 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 ene. 1983 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 mar. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAU
68%
18%
15%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 mar. 1982 |
NAU
0 - 1
GRE
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |