Análisis Vasco da Gama vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 may. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
VAS
26%
25%
49%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2012 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 1
GRE
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2012 |
VAS
0 - 0
COR
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 1
VAS
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 may. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 abr. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
FOR
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |