Oberliga Hessen Jor. 8

Análisis Vellmar vs Fernwald

Vellmar Fernwald
18 ELO 24
18.2% Tilt -5.7%
14765º Ranking ELO general 4707º
632º Ranking ELO país 215º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
39.5%
Vellmar
24.9%
Empate
35.7%
Fernwald

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Vellmar
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Fernwald
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Vellmar
-26%
-5%
Fernwald

Progresión del ELO

Vellmar
Fernwald
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Vellmar
Vellmar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 ago. 2009
KIC
Kickers Offenbach FC II
2 - 1
Vellmar
VEL
76%
15%
9%
20 32 12 0
08 ago. 2009
URB
Viktoria Urberach
1 - 0
Vellmar
VEL
71%
17%
12%
20 27 7 0
05 ago. 2009
VEL
Vellmar
0 - 1
Schwalmstadt
SWM
60%
20%
20%
20 18 2 0
01 ago. 2009
MAR
Marburg
7 - 4
Vellmar
VEL
48%
25%
27%
21 20 1 -1
29 jul. 2009
VEL
Vellmar
0 - 4
KSV Baunatal
BAU
45%
23%
32%
22 24 2 -1

Partidos

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 ago. 2009
FER
Fernwald
0 - 2
Bad Hersfeld
BHE
64%
20%
16%
24 19 5 0
14 ago. 2009
ESC
Eschborn
2 - 0
Fernwald
FER
45%
26%
30%
25 24 1 -1
08 ago. 2009
FER
Fernwald
2 - 1
Würges
WUR
37%
26%
37%
24 28 4 +1
05 ago. 2009
FER
Fernwald
1 - 2
FSV Frankfurt II
FSV
36%
25%
39%
25 30 5 -1
01 ago. 2009
KIC
Kickers Offenbach FC II
1 - 3
Fernwald
FER
67%
19%
14%
24 32 8 +1