Análisis Venezia vs ACR Messina
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
22.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
REG
2 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ACP
56%
23%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
USF
0 - 2
VNZ
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
SSS
1 - 0
VNZ
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 1961 |
VNZ
0 - 0
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
ASS
51%
27%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 1961 |
MAN
0 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
MES
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 ene. 1961 |
MES
0 - 2
FIO
25%
25%
50%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |