Análisis Homberg vs Köln II
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
12.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.2
Goles esperados
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-9%
-18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2020 |
AAA
2 - 0
VFB
76%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
VFB
2 - 1
WUP
24%
21%
55%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 28 oct. 2020 |
ROD
4 - 0
VFB
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | -1 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
WEG
1 - 0
VFB
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2020 |
VFB
1 - 2
S04
24%
25%
52%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 2020 |
DIE
2 - 0
STR
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
BER
2 - 2
DIE
13%
19%
68%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2020 |
DIE
3 - 1
ROD
29%
25%
46%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2020 |
S04
3 - 0
DIE
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2020 |
DIE
4 - 0
ROT
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |