DFB Pokal 1/32

Análisis VfR Aalen vs Mainz 05

VfR Aalen Mainz 05
54 ELO 77
16.8% Tilt 15.3%
4105º Ranking ELO general 43º
184º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
21%
VfR Aalen
23.4%
Empate
55.6%
Mainz 05

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21%
Probabilidad de victoria
VfR Aalen
0.99
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Mainz 05
1.77
Goles esperados
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

Progresión del ELO

VfR Aalen
Mainz 05
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

VfR Aalen
VfR Aalen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 ago. 2004
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 0
VfR Aalen
VFR
61%
21%
18%
55 64 9 0
07 ago. 2004
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 2
Hoffenheim
HOF
46%
24%
30%
56 58 2 -1
05 jun. 2004
VFR
VfR Aalen
4 - 1
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
ERF
42%
25%
32%
55 60 5 +1
29 may. 2004
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
1 - 3
VfR Aalen
VFR
51%
24%
26%
54 57 3 +1
22 may. 2004
VFR
VfR Aalen
3 - 2
Mainz 05 II
MAI
51%
25%
24%
53 54 1 +1

Partidos

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 ago. 2004
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
HSV
31%
25%
44%
76 84 8 0
08 ago. 2004
STU
Stuttgart
4 - 2
Mainz 05
M05
65%
21%
14%
77 88 11 -1
23 may. 2004
M05
Mainz 05
3 - 0
Eintracht Trier
EIN
61%
22%
17%
76 68 8 +1
16 may. 2004
SSV
Jahn Regensburg
0 - 0
Mainz 05
M05
29%
26%
45%
76 64 12 0
07 may. 2004
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
Unterhaching
UNT
58%
23%
19%
76 69 7 0