Análisis Vila Nova vs Aparecidense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.35
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
VIL
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
JAT
1 - 2
VIL
19%
21%
59%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 6
GOI
20%
23%
57%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 2
ANA
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
ANA
3 - 2
APA
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
APA
1 - 3
CRA
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
ITU
2 - 0
APA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
APA
0 - 3
TRI
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 feb. 2009 |
MIN
4 - 0
APA
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |