Análisis Vila Nova vs CDR Guará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.6%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ITU
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 1
VIL
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 abr. 2007 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
CDR Guará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
18%
23%
59%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 jul. 2007 |
GUA
1 - 2
GRE
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
ITU
2 - 0
GUA
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 abr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
LUZ
0 - 1
GUA
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |