Análisis Vila Nova vs Ceará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
42.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.47
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.5%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
32.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 sep. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
SAO
56%
22%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
SAN
5 - 2
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
PAU
35%
25%
39%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
VIL
1 - 1
AME
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 sep. 2004 |
CEA
2 - 1
LON
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2004 |
AMF
3 - 2
CEA
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
CEA
1 - 0
AME
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 ago. 2004 |
JEC
4 - 0
CEA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 ago. 2004 |
CEA
1 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |