Análisis Vila Nova vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
29.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.98
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
28.9%
Empate
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
41.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+10%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 2016 |
TUP
1 - 0
VIL
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 3
VIL
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
GOI
1 - 2
VIL
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 oct. 2016 |
CRI
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 2016 |
BAH
3 - 1
CEA
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
BAH
24%
28%
49%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2016 |
BAH
1 - 0
BRA
62%
24%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 oct. 2016 |
BAH
4 - 0
TUP
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2016 |
LON
1 - 0
BAH
29%
30%
42%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |