Copa Brasil . Octavos
Global 2-6
Análisis Vila Nova vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
20.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.03
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
57.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.88
Goles esperados
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 abr. 2006 |
PAY
1 - 0
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 0
GOI
24%
26%
50%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAY
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 mar. 2006 |
GOI
2 - 1
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
RIO
78%
14%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2006 |
CEN
3 - 5
FLU
12%
18%
70%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 2006 |
VOL
1 - 2
FLU
13%
19%
69%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
BOT
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2006 |
FLU
3 - 1
OPE
78%
15%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 2006 |
FLU
2 - 2
VAS
54%
22%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |