Análisis Vilches vs Atlético Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+59%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2007 |
BAI
2 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2007 |
VIL
5 - 1
FSV
58%
21%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
QUE
2 - 2
VIL
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 1
LCA
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
URG
1 - 2
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Atlético Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
BEA
75%
17%
9%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2007 |
ORC
0 - 0
ATL
16%
23%
61%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2007 |
ATL
4 - 1
LIN
48%
27%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
PJI
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 0
ATL
46%
25%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |