Análisis Vilches vs Baeza CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+149%
+129%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 3
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
CPH
0 - 0
VIL
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
VIL
3 - 0
MOG
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 1
VIL
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIL
69%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
PUE
1 - 2
BAE
36%
26%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
CAZ
3 - 4
BAE
17%
22%
62%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
BAE
2 - 0
LCA
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
BAE
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
BAE
4 - 0
CPH
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |