Análisis Vilches vs Baeza CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.25
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+51%
+260%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
PUE
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
25%
27%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2008 |
MIJ
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
BNS
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 ene. 2009 |
MAN
3 - 0
BAE
64%
22%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
BAE
3 - 0
UDT
61%
24%
16%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2008 |
NER
1 - 0
BAE
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
BAE
1 - 0
BEN
30%
28%
42%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
BAE
21%
23%
56%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |