Análisis Vilches vs Alcalá CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
86.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.22
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
9.3%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ALH
1 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAE
66%
19%
15%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 ene. 2009 |
VIL
3 - 0
PUE
83%
11%
6%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 dic. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIL
25%
27%
48%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
VIL
4 - 1
JUV
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Alcalá CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2009 |
ALC
1 - 5
MAN
19%
24%
57%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2008 |
NER
4 - 0
ALC
78%
14%
8%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 3
BEN
19%
23%
58%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
ALH
2 - 0
ALC
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 2
BAE
21%
23%
56%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |