Análisis Vilches vs Orcera CF
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.23
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
8.8%
Empate
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vilches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2007 |
LIN
0 - 1
VIL
23%
26%
50%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 nov. 2007 |
VIL
0 - 1
VIL
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
VIL
3 - 3
BET
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
PJI
1 - 1
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Orcera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 dic. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 1
BEA
53%
23%
24%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2007 |
ORC
2 - 2
QUE
39%
25%
36%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2007 |
LIN
1 - 1
ORC
73%
18%
10%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
ORC
1 - 2
VIL
16%
22%
62%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 0
ORC
78%
15%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |