Análisis Villarreal C vs Ilicitano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.66
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.3%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2010 |
NUC
4 - 1
VIL
34%
27%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 2
VIL
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
NOV
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Partidos
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 ene. 2010 |
ELC
0 - 1
RIB
17%
25%
58%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
ELC
1 - 5
JUV
15%
24%
62%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
PUÇ
3 - 4
ELC
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 4
GAN
12%
21%
67%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 2009 |
ELC
0 - 1
CAT
16%
23%
61%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |