Segunda B - Play Offs Ascenso Semifinal
Global 4-2
Análisis Villarreal B vs Lorca Deportiva
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
42%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
UES
3 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
PXD
0 - 3
VIL
21%
26%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
LOR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 may. 2009 |
ALF
1 - 3
LOR
23%
27%
50%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 1
LOR
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2009 |
VEC
2 - 1
LOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |