Análisis Villegas vs Aldeano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+78%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2011 |
TAT
1 - 2
VIL
56%
22%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
RAP
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
CDL
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
VIL
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
AGO
10%
18%
72%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +4 |
Partidos
Aldeano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 2011 |
ALD
3 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
CDC
2 - 7
ALD
78%
14%
8%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +4 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ALD
2 - 0
CAS
11%
19%
70%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +4 |
| 10 sep. 2011 |
CAV
0 - 1
ALD
66%
19%
15%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +3 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
NAX
2 - 0
ALD
84%
12%
4%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |