Análisis Villegas vs CD Varea
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
9.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75%
Probabilidad gana
2.5
Goles esperados
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+57%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2014 |
CLH
0 - 1
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 3
HAR
9%
18%
73%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
SMC
0 - 2
VIL
54%
23%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2014 |
AGO
2 - 0
VIL
63%
21%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 dic. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 2
ALF
9%
17%
74%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAL
88%
9%
3%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 3
VAR
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
VAR
4 - 1
CDF
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 0
PRA
85%
11%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2013 |
ARN
1 - 2
VAR
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |