Análisis Casarano vs Real Nocera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
VIR
2 - 0
ANG
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 1
VIR
40%
26%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 2011 |
VIR
1 - 1
BRI
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Nocera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ene. 2012 |
REA
4 - 1
GRO
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2011 |
NAR
1 - 1
REA
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2011 |
REA
0 - 2
TUR
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 2011 |
REA
0 - 0
FRA
45%
25%
30%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2011 |
BRI
5 - 2
REA
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |