Análisis Vitória Guimarães vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.51
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 1965 |
FCP
4 - 2
VIT
70%
17%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 1
BEL
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 1964 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1964 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 1965 |
VAR
6 - 0
SEI
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 ene. 1965 |
VAR
4 - 1
VST
48%
25%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 ene. 1965 |
TOR
0 - 0
VAR
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 dic. 1964 |
FCP
3 - 1
VAR
84%
11%
6%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1964 |
VAR
1 - 4
SLB
10%
15%
76%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |