Análisis Vitória vs Bahía
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.25
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2005 |
CON
1 - 0
VIT
24%
25%
51%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAT
76%
15%
9%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
VIT
4 - 0
PAL
93%
6%
1%
|
76 | 8 | 68 | 0 |
Partidos
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 1
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 0
ALA
86%
10%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
ALA
0 - 2
BAH
14%
20%
66%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
BAH
1 - 1
VIT
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
CAM
1 - 2
BAH
7%
15%
77%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |