Análisis Vitória vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.59
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1973 |
VIT
0 - 0
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1973 |
VIT
1 - 0
REM
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1973 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1973 |
VIT
3 - 3
GOI
46%
24%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1973 |
SER
0 - 0
NAU
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1973 |
NAU
3 - 1
ATM
37%
25%
39%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1973 |
ARN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 1973 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
17%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1973 |
NAU
3 - 2
POR
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |