Análisis Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.28
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1999 |
WIL
1 - 3
SPA
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 3
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 1
BOS
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 2
FOR
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 1999 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIL
25%
26%
50%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 1
UTR
63%
21%
17%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 2
RJC
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1999 |
RKC
1 - 2
AZA
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 1999 |
FOR
1 - 2
AZA
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 may. 1999 |
AZA
4 - 2
MVV
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |