Análisis Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 oct. 2006 |
WIL
2 - 0
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 0
WIL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 sep. 2006 |
WIL
0 - 1
RJC
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2006 |
FLE
0 - 2
WIL
20%
21%
60%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 oct. 2006 |
AZA
1 - 3
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 0
SPB
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
SPA
0 - 2
AZA
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2006 |
AZA
2 - 2
ADO
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2006 |
KAY
1 - 1
AZA
35%
25%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |