Análisis Willem II vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-18%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 2006 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2006 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 dic. 2006 |
WIL
1 - 3
TWE
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
AJA
6 - 0
WIL
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2006 |
WIL
3 - 1
RKC
49%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 dic. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 0
EXC
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 3
AJA
17%
21%
61%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 dic. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
AZA
5 - 0
EXC
79%
14%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 nov. 2006 |
EXC
6 - 1
HER
55%
23%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |