Análisis Willem II vs Excelsior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2018 |
PSV
6 - 1
WIL
79%
15%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2018 |
WIL
5 - 0
HER
38%
25%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 ago. 2018 |
GRO
0 - 1
WIL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 ago. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 ago. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 1
ARI
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
EXC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 4
ADO
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 2
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2018 |
FEY
3 - 0
EXC
72%
17%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 ago. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
FOR
49%
25%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |