Eredivisie Jor. 17

Análisis Willem II vs Twente

Willem II Twente
75 ELO 77
18.1% Tilt 6.4%
375º Ranking ELO general 113º
13º Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
50.2%
Willem II
23.2%
Empate
26.7%
Twente

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Willem II
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Twente
1.25
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Willem II
-21%
-9%
Twente

Progresión del ELO

Willem II
Twente
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 dic. 2003
GRO
Groningen
1 - 2
Willem II
WIL
37%
26%
37%
75 69 6 0
16 dic. 2003
PSV
PSV
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
74%
16%
10%
76 89 13 -1
13 dic. 2003
ADO
ADO Den Haag
0 - 1
Willem II
WIL
40%
25%
35%
75 71 4 +1
06 dic. 2003
WIL
Willem II
0 - 2
Utrecht
UTR
47%
23%
29%
76 80 4 -1
29 nov. 2003
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
66%
20%
14%
75 71 4 +1

Partidos

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 dic. 2003
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Ajax
AJA
18%
23%
59%
76 88 12 0
16 dic. 2003
TWE
Twente
1 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
68%
19%
12%
76 65 11 0
13 dic. 2003
TWE
Twente
4 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
18%
23%
59%
75 88 13 +1
03 dic. 2003
VOL
FC Volendam
2 - 0
Twente
TWE
38%
25%
37%
75 67 8 0
29 nov. 2003
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
41%
27%
33%
75 77 2 0