Análisis Willem II vs PEC Zwolle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1981 |
AZA
3 - 3
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
ADO
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 1981 |
GRO
0 - 2
WIL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 abr. 1981 |
WIL
2 - 1
EXC
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
WIL
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
Partidos
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1981 |
ZWO
2 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1981 |
TWE
2 - 0
ZWO
84%
10%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
MVV
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 1981 |
AJA
2 - 1
ZWO
91%
6%
3%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 1
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |