Análisis Willem II vs Fortuna 54
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
20.2%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 1961 |
WIL
0 - 2
TSV
77%
14%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
WIL
1 - 0
NAC
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
ELI
1 - 4
WIL
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
WIL
3 - 5
AJA
27%
21%
52%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
PSV
1 - 2
WIL
74%
14%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 1961 |
FOR
1 - 1
VVD
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 1961 |
VVD
1 - 1
FOR
72%
15%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 1
ELI
71%
17%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 mar. 1961 |
AJA
7 - 4
FOR
70%
17%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 1961 |
FOR
0 - 5
PSV
46%
22%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |