Análisis Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 ago. 1998 |
AJA
2 - 0
WIL
81%
13%
7%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1998 |
WIL
3 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1998 |
WIL
2 - 4
RJC
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1998 |
RKC
1 - 4
WIL
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 1998 |
AJA
6 - 1
WIL
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ago. 1998 |
FOR
1 - 2
FEY
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 ago. 1998 |
RBS
3 - 1
FOR
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 jul. 1998 |
FOR
2 - 1
RBS
41%
26%
34%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 jul. 1998 |
VOR
2 - 2
FOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 jul. 1998 |
FOR
3 - 0
VOR
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |