Análisis Willem II vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.65
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
14%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 1
UTR
78%
14%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 2
WIL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 1996 |
GRO
3 - 0
WIL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 1996 |
TWE
2 - 1
WIL
63%
22%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1996 |
WIL
2 - 5
PSV
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 1996 |
GRA
3 - 1
GRO
32%
27%
40%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
8%
17%
76%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 1996 |
RKC
5 - 0
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 1996 |
VIT
0 - 1
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 1996 |
RJC
3 - 1
GRA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |