Análisis Willem II vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.3%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
15.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 mar. 1998 |
VOL
4 - 1
WIL
31%
27%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 1998 |
FOR
2 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1998 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 1997 |
FEY
4 - 2
WIL
79%
15%
7%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1997 |
SPA
4 - 1
WIL
61%
22%
18%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 0
FOR
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1998 |
GRO
0 - 3
GRA
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 feb. 1998 |
GRA
3 - 3
VIT
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1998 |
GRA
1 - 2
PSV
19%
21%
60%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1997 |
GRA
2 - 3
GRO
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |