Análisis Willem II vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.5%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2002 |
WIL
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 mar. 2002 |
BOS
1 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 0
SPA
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 0
WIL
34%
27%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 2002 |
GRA
1 - 2
SCH
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2002 |
GRA
3 - 1
RKC
39%
27%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 mar. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 1
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |