Análisis Willem II vs De Graafschap
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 abr. 2003 |
UTR
1 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 1
PSV
25%
24%
51%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 0
WIL
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2003 |
GRO
1 - 1
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2003 |
WIL
1 - 2
TWE
58%
22%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2003 |
TWE
3 - 0
GRA
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2003 |
GRA
3 - 4
FEY
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2003 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRA
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 4
RKC
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 mar. 2003 |
GRA
1 - 0
UTR
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |