Análisis Willem II vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.18
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
WIL
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
UTR
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
WIL
74%
19%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2009 |
WIL
1 - 2
VOL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 2009 |
WIL
0 - 2
VIT
56%
23%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
HER
0 - 2
AZA
15%
21%
64%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
GRO
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 2009 |
HER
1 - 1
NEC
30%
29%
42%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2009 |
RJC
3 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |