Análisis Willem II vs Heracles
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.4%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2020 |
PRO
0 - 5
WIL
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2020 |
SCH
2 - 0
WIL
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2020 |
WIL
1 - 1
PSV
19%
22%
59%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2020 |
WIL
2 - 1
VVV
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2020 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 sep. 2020 |
HER
2 - 0
ADO
56%
22%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 sep. 2020 |
EBT
2 - 0
HER
31%
24%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
JUT
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
TEL
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2020 |
GRA
1 - 0
HER
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |