Análisis Willem II vs Málaga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
40.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
35%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
14%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRS
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 jul. 2002 |
STG
1 - 1
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2002 |
MAL
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 jul. 2002 |
MAL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 2
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2002 |
MAL
0 - 2
VCF
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |